Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.021272 0.023027 0.024858 0.026912 0.029154 0.031527 0.034232
2025-08-31 0.018156 0.020653 0.023403 0.026660 0.030420 0.034634 0.039725
2025-09-07 0.016127 0.019029 0.022353 0.026454 0.031394 0.037172 0.044471
2025-09-14 0.014664 0.017819 0.021552 0.026312 0.032249 0.039443 0.048875
2025-09-21 0.013414 0.016711 0.020720 0.025980 0.032736 0.041179 0.052609
2025-09-28 0.012576 0.016021 0.020313 0.026087 0.033709 0.043500 0.057152
2025-10-05 0.011784 0.015315 0.019810 0.026000 0.034370 0.045399 0.061195
2025-10-12 0.011174 0.014793 0.019494 0.026106 0.035254 0.047597 0.065728
2025-10-19 0.010626 0.014309 0.019186 0.026182 0.036070 0.049709 0.070229
2025-10-26 0.010075 0.013783 0.018779 0.026079 0.036603 0.051425 0.074231
2025-11-02 0.009611 0.013346 0.018462 0.026071 0.037250 0.053309 0.078557
2025-11-09 0.009090 0.012798 0.017954 0.025748 0.037402 0.054458 0.081817
2025-11-16 0.008546 0.012203 0.017371 0.025313 0.037409 0.055457 0.085024
2025-11-23 0.008094 0.011721 0.016927 0.025063 0.037680 0.056873 0.088989
2025-11-30 0.007695 0.011295 0.016539 0.024868 0.038014 0.058389 0.093191
2025-12-07 0.007345 0.010922 0.016208 0.024735 0.038425 0.060031 0.097683
2025-12-14 0.006978 0.010502 0.015782 0.024424 0.038523 0.061161 0.101370
2025-12-21 0.006738 0.010266 0.015624 0.024524 0.039284 0.063399 0.107074
2025-12-28 0.006473 0.009976 0.015364 0.024443 0.039731 0.065129 0.111988
2026-01-04 0.006266 0.009767 0.015223 0.024542 0.040479 0.067398 0.117992
2026-01-11 0.006066 0.009560 0.015071 0.024613 0.041176 0.069606 0.124019
2026-01-18 0.005843 0.009305 0.014829 0.024516 0.041571 0.071300 0.129192
2026-01-25 0.005652 0.009093 0.014647 0.024509 0.042117 0.073282 0.135024